Forgeries on the Brain

When it comes to high art, almost nobody can tell the difference between an original and a good copy.  Even so, we overwhelmingly prefer the original.  Oxford scientists hooked up 14 volunteers to a functional MRI, and then showed them real and fake Rembrandts.  The researchers would then inform the subjects whether they were looking at an original or a fake.

Regardless of what the subjects were actually looking at, merely being told they were looking at the original lit up the pleasure centers in their brains.  Just believing the painting was an original was enough to make people favor it.  And on the other side, just believing the painting was a fake was enough to send the brain into overdrive, searching for reasons to believe it’s inferior to the original.

Our findings support what art historians, critics and the general public have long believed — that it is always better to think we are seeing the genuine article. Our study shows that the way we view art is not rational, that even when we cannot distinguish between two works, the knowledge that one was painted by a renowned artist makes us respond to it very differently.

It turns out that when it comes to art, we don’t really know what we like.  A lot more than just visual appeal goes into determining what we fancy.

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How to Talk to Anyone And Not Be Boring

A lot of smart, hardworking, observant, and otherwise interesting people are conversationally awkward. Even though they do and read about lots of interesting stuff, they never seem to have much to talk about. Which is weird because these are some of the people who should have the most to talk about.

I know this problem well. The good news is, it’s one of the easiest personal stumbling blocks to overcome. In fact, you probably already do it, only with bad form. It’s a one sentence fix:

Hey, I was just reading that [someone/thing did something/said something]. What do you think about that?

Unless the other person is totally uninterested in having a conversation with you, a conversation will start immediately after you say this. If the other person is interesting, you may not even need to do much talking [and as an added bonus, the person who loves to hear themselves talk will instantly like you just for asking their opinion about something and then actually listening].

Easy. Conversation has started. Awkwardness avoided. When you get to that conversational lull, repeat. If you don’t have something else to bring up [really? Nothing?] you can just tweak whatever the original question was. i.e. Well sure, but what if X was Y.

Ideally though, you’ll insert personal stories, experiences, thoughts, and opinions to keep that original conversation flowing into new areas, where you can ask more questions.

So, get on your way to being less awkward and go start some conversations.

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On Saving Time

Treasuring the little time we have was not a new idea, even in Seneca’s day.  And, while there have been treatises more eloquently written, I haven’t seen any that drive the point home more succinctly and powerfully than Seneca.  For that reason, it’s best to excerpt his entire first letter to Lucilius:

CONTINUE to act thus, my dear Lucilius – set yourself free for your own sake; gather and save your time, which till lately has been forced from you, or filched away, or has merely slipped from your hands. Make yourself believe the truth of my words, – that certain moments are torn from us, that some are gently removed, and that others glide beyond our reach. The most disgraceful kind of loss, however, is that due to carelessness. Furthermore, if you will pay close heed to the problem, you will find that the largest portion of our life passes while we are doing ill, a goodly share while we are doing nothing, and the whole while we are doing that which is not to the purpose. What man can you show me who places any value on his time, who reckons the worth of each day, who understands that he is dying daily? For we are mistaken when we look forward to death; the major portion of death has already passed, Whatever years be behind us are in death’s hands.

Therefore, Lucilius, do as you write me that you are doing: hold every hour in your grasp. Lay hold of to-day’s task, and you will not need to depend so much upon to-morrow’s. While we are postponing, life speeds by. Nothing, Lucilius, is ours, except time. We were entrusted by nature with the ownership of this single thing, so fleeting and slippery that anyone who will can oust us from possession. What fools these mortals be! They allow the cheapest and most useless things, which can easily be replaced, to be charged in the reckoning, after they have acquired them; but they never regard themselves as in debt when they have received some of that precious commodity, – time! And yet time is the one loan which even a grateful recipient cannot repay.

You may desire to know how I, who preach to you so freely, am practising. I confess frankly: my expense account balances, as you would expect from one who is free-handed but careful. I cannot boast that I waste nothing, but I can at least tell you what I am wasting, and the cause and manner of the loss; I can give you the reasons why I am a poor man. My situation, however, is the same as that of many who are reduced to slender means through no fault of their own: every one forgives them, but no one comes to their rescue.

What is the state of things, then? It is this: I do not regard a man as poor, if the little which remains is enough for him. I advise you, however, to keep what is really yours; and you cannot begin too early.  For, as our ancestors believed, it is too late to spare when you reach the dregs of the cask./a Of that which remains at the bottom, the amount is slight, and the quality is vile.  Farewell

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Diamond Psychology

Most people are probably aware that diamonds aren’t particularly rare and that their price is mostly a function of cartel control over the supply (De Beers) and good advertising.  While this is true, the story behind it is fascinating (and well told by Edward Jay Epstein, recently republished by the Atlantic, 30 years after its original publication).  Even after consolidating nearly every aspect of the diamond trade, from mining to processing, to polishing, to sales, De Beers had a major problem: supply was far outpacing demand.

In Europe, where diamond prices had collapsed during the Depression, there seemed little possibility of restoring public confidence in diamonds. In Germany, Austria, Italy, and Spain, the notion of giving a diamond ring to commemorate an engagement had never taken hold. In England and France, diamonds were still presumed to be jewels for aristocrats rather than the masses. Furthermore, Europe was on the verge of war, and there seemed little possibility of expanding diamond sales. This left the United States as the only real market for De Beers’s diamonds. In fact, in 1938 some three quarters of all the cartel’s diamonds were sold for engagement rings in the United States. Most of these stones, however, were smaller and of poorer quality than those bought in Europe, and had an average price of $80 apiece. Oppenheimer and the bankers believed that an advertising campaign could persuade Americans to buy more expensive diamonds.

How do you pump up demand for neatly aligned carbon atoms?  First, you understand who you’re selling to, why they’d be interested in buying, and then you sell a story:

N. W. Ayer [De Beer's ad agency] suggested that through a well-orchestrated advertising and public-relations campaign it could have a significant impact on the “social attitudes of the public at large and thereby channel American spending toward larger and more expensive diamonds instead of “competitive luxuries.” Specifically, the Ayer study stressed the need to strengthen the association in the public’s mind of diamonds with romance. Since “young men buy over 90% of all engagement rings” it would be crucial to inculcate in them the idea that diamonds were a gift of love: the larger and finer the diamond, the greater the expression of love. Similarly, young women had to be encouraged to view diamonds as an integral part of any romantic courtship.

Once the story took shape, De Beers started telling that story everywhere:

. . . the advertising agency [also] strongly suggested exploiting the relatively new medium of motion pictures. Movie idols, the paragons of romance for the mass audience, would be given diamonds to use as their symbols of indestructible love. In addition, the agency suggested offering stories and society photographs to selected magazines and newspapers which would reinforce the link between diamonds and romance. Stories would stress the size of diamonds that celebrities presented to their loved ones, and photographs would conspicuously show the glittering stone on the hand of a well-known woman.

The trend soon reversed, and diamond sales jumped.  When extensive mines found in Siberia threatened De Beers’ empire, what did they do?  They invited Russia into the cartel.  When those Russian diamonds turned out to be tiny?  They marketed diamonds based on cut, color, and clarity (instead of just on carat, as had been done up to that point).    All of this story-crafting worked:

By 1979, N. W. Ayer had helped De Beers expand its sales of diamonds in the United States to more than $2.1 billion, at the wholesale level, compared with a mere $23 million in 1939. In forty years, the value of its sales had increased nearly a hundredfold. The expenditure on advertisements, which began at a level of only $200,000 a year and gradually increased to $10 million, seemed a brilliant investment.

But this also presented a problem: 40 years of heavy sales meant that there were roughly 500 million carats of cut diamonds on fingers, wrists, necks, and in consumers’ safes around the world.  That was roughly 50 times the amount of diamonds mined by De Beers each year.  If even a small percentage of those diamonds ended up back on the market, prices would tank, or De Beers would be forced to buy and hold their own goods.  The solution?  Part of it was already underway: for years De Beers had been telling the public that “Diamonds are Forever”, not something you could simply sell if need be.  The other solution was market driven: nearly everything but extremely high end diamonds are sold at high markups, which means the places that make it easy for you to sell your diamonds offer just a pittance of what you paid for them.

The whole article is worth the read.

 

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Choosing A Strategy

Above is a very cool video showing which empires held which territories in Europe from 1000ad to 2005ad.  While the video itself could be much better (no clock? no legend?), it provides a pretty great view of how empires rise and fall.

Take France.  A nice little territory with easy access to both the Mediterranean and the Atlantic, which in addition to serving as ready access to foreign trade, provides relative protection as well.  It is also sheltered by the Alps to the east and the Pyrenees to the south (and also had Spain serving as a buffer to African powers).   All of this natural defense lets Paris go on a thousand year run where it was rarely disturbed.  Not bad for the butt of every joke about surrendering.

England was in a similar situation: well protected on all sides, it had a long history of foreign peace (internal strife is another matter).

Italy is just the opposite: it’s open from nearly all sides, and has consistently been fractured into numerous city-states.

Then you have the rapid expanders: the Mongols, who swallowed up almost all of eastern Europe (and nearly all of Asia) in a single lifetime, the Germans, who conquered basically all of western Europe during WWII, and countless smaller empires.  These all became huge behemoths by sweeping through, and, usually because of more advanced weaponry or military techniques, decimated opponents.  But, they didn’t build any lasting ties.  They were quickly dissected, usually when one or two key leaders died off, or when a major tribute decided it was better off on its own.  Spread too thin, they eventually failed.

The Ottoman Empire and Russia, who became behemoths in their own right, took a different path.  They started with decent strategic locations, not with the natural protections that England or France had, but good enough.  The Ottomans controlled the key trade and shipping lanes from the west to the east.  The Ottomans built their empire rather slowly, losing territory at times, but building much stronger ties to the local people than the Mongols or Germans ever did.  Russia had vast natural resources, and the winters could dissuade any would-be invaders.  They too slowly expanded outward, assimilating locals as they went (until they didn’t, and quickly lost most of their fast gains).

While a lot more goes into why some empires were so successful than simply the area they held and the speed at which they expanded, this plays a surprisingly large role.

We don’t get to choose where we’re born or who we’re born to, but we do more or less get to pick our “starting position”.  Pick one with lots of natural advantages, either one that’s easily defensible, or that’s rich in natural resources (preferably both).  Consolidate as you go: build deep alliances with those you work with.  Don’t expand too quickly or try to do too much too soon.  You’ll almost certainly fail.

Lastly, think about all of the people, from the peasants to the great kings and conquerors that made this map possible.  They’re all dead.  While they had a pretty tremendous impact on the world, nobody knows who 99.999% of them are.  So don’t bother worrying about your legacy.  Worry about the people around you today.

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Marriage and Economics

Some interesting statistics about money and marriage from The Economist:

Marriage itself is “a wealth-generating institution”, according to Barbara Dafoe Whitehead and David Popenoe, who run the National Marriage Project at Rutgers University. Those who marry “till death do us part” end up, on average, four times richer than those who never marry. This is partly because marriage provides economies of scale—two can live more cheaply than one—and because the kind of people who make more money—those who work hard, plan for the future and have good interpersonal skills—are more likely to marry and stay married. But it is also because marriage affects the way people behave.

This economic difference also manifests when children are used as the measurement:

Most children in single-parent homes “grow up without serious problems”, writes Mary Parke of the Centre for Law and Social Policy, a think-tank in Washington, DC. But they are more than five times as likely to be poor as those who live with two biological parents (26% against 5%). Children who do not live with both biological parents are also roughly twice as likely to drop out of high school and to have behavioural or psychological problems. Even after controlling for race, family background and IQ, children of single mothers do worse in school than children of married parents, says Ms Hymowitz.

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Dieter Rams on Design: Understand People

Dieter Rams has been successful because he deeply understands people, both physically, psychologically, and how they operate in the world.  He’s not some sort of mind reader:

You cannot understand good design if you do not understand people; design is made for people. It must be ergonomically correct, meaning it must harmonize with a human being’s strengths, dimensions, senses, and understanding.

Vitsœ’s direct contact with its customers has led to a deep understanding of people. Over the years, our understanding of how you use a shelf or an armchair has increased. We have educated and diligent people worldwide who understand how to plan systems in configurations that our customers may not necessarily have thought of at the beginning.

Good design, like any business, requires constant contact and feedback from customers.  For more good advice, check out the whole speech.

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The Right Comparison

A noble man compares and estimates himself by an idea which is higher than himself; and a mean man, by one lower than himself. The one produces aspiration; the other ambition, which is the way in which a vulgar man aspires.

- Marcus Aurelius

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Creativity Is Not A Talent; It’s A Way Of Operating

John Cleese manages to explain about 90 different topics I’ve written about in a 13 minute span.  Below is a really, really excellent speech on fostering creativity, becoming more effective, managing time, and much more.  The short version is excellent, but the long version is definitely worth watching:

Note that Cleese’s other talks (in the youtube sidebar) are also fantastic.

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Dieter Ram’s Ten Principals of Good Design

Good design is innovative

The possibilities for innovation are not, by any means, exhausted. Technological development is always offering new opportunities for innovative design. But innovative design always develops in tandem with innovative technology, and can never be an end in itself.

Good design makes a product useful.

A product is bought to be used. It has to satisfy certain criteria, not only functional, but also psychological and aesthetic. Good design emphasizes the usefulness of a product whilst disregarding anything that could possibly detract from it.

Good design is aesthetic.

The aesthetic quality of a product is integral to its usefulness because products we use every day affect our person and our well-being. But only well-executed objects can be beautiful.

Good design makes a product understandable.

It clarifies the product’s structure. Better still, it can make the product talk. At best, it is self-explanatory.

Good design is unobtrusive.

Products fulfilling a purpose are like tools. They are neither decorative objects nor works of art. Their design should therefore be both neutral and restrained, to leave room for the user’s self-expression.

Good design is honest.

It does not make a product more innovative, powerful or valuable than it really is. It does not attempt to manipulate the consumer with promises that cannot be kept.

Good design is long lasting.

It avoids being fashionable and therefore never appears antiquated. Unlike fashionable design, it lasts many years – even in today’s throwaway society.

Good design is thorough.

Nothing must be arbitrary or left to chance. Care and accuracy in the design process show respect towards the consumer.

Good design is environmentally friendly.

Design makes an important contribution to the preservation of the environment. It conserves resources and minimises physical and visual pollution throughout the lifecycle of the product.

Good design is as little as possible.

Less, but better – because it concentrates on the essential aspects, and the products are not burdened with non-essentials.

Back to purity, back to simplicity.

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Creating False Memories

Ad men have known for years that they could make people feel good about a brand or product by telling happy stories.  It’s one of the reasons Budweiser spends tens of millions of dollars on advertising during the Superbowl.  They’re not exactly reaching a new audience (you think there’s anyone who watches the Superbowl who hasn’t heard of Bud Light?).  Instead, they’re reinforcing the message that young, fun, attractive people drink Bud Light when they want to have fun, which they hope will prompt you to pick Bud Light over Coors or the hundreds of other beers next time you’re shopping.

Several things are working to make you pick Bud Light.  First, it’s sheer repetition.  The Bud Light name and logo are seared into your brain after seeing them so many thousands of times that it’s the first thing you think of when you think of beer.  Second, you see a bunch of young, fun, attractive people drinking Bud Light at parties and social events.  Both of these combine to form a powerful motivator: you’ve seen (fictional) people enjoying this product that’s ubiquitous.  ”It’s everywhere, and it’s what people seem to drink, so it’s probably good and I guess I’ll drink it too.”

It turns out that there may be an even stronger motivator.  New research indicates that it might be extremely easy to create false memories, even when the subjects know the memories they have never happened.  Psychologists Andrew Clark, Robert A. Nash, Gabrielle Fincham, and Giuliana Mazzoni conducted a three-stage experiment:

In Session 1 participants imitated simple actions, and in Session 2 they saw doctored video-recordings containing clips that falsely suggested they had performed additional (fake) actions. As in earlier studies, this procedure created powerful false memories. In Session 3, participants were debriefed and told that specific actions in the video were not truly performed. Beliefs and memories for all critical actions were tested before and after the debriefing.

The BPS Research Digest summarizes the study’s main conclusion: “The take-home finding is that for 25 per cent of the fake actions, the participants now reported significantly stronger memory scores than belief scores – in other words, their (false) memory of having performed the fake actions persisted even though they often no longer believed they’d performed the actions.”

I would not be surprised if this advertising had the same effect on our own memories.  We’ve all had that experience where we’re sure something happened, but are later confronted with proof that it happened some other way.  How much of that is just misremembering, and how much of that was planted?

That party that you had so much fun at where you drank 6 Bud Lights and finally had the courage to talk to that cute girl?  Maybe you weren’t drinking Bud Light at all.  Maybe your brain just switched the labels after the 400,000th commercial?

HT: Freakonomics

 

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Bertrand Russell’s 10 Commandments of Teaching

Perhaps the essence of the Liberal outlook could be summed up in a new decalogue, not intended to replace the old one but only to supplement it. The Ten Commandments that, as a teacher, I should wish to promulgate, might be set forth as follows:

1. Do not feel absolutely certain of anything.

2. Do not think it worth while to proceed by concealing evidence, for the evidence is sure to come to light.

3. Never try to discourage thinking for you are sure to succeed.

4. When you meet with opposition, even if it should be from your husband or your children, endeavor to overcome it by argument and not by authority, for a victory dependent upon authority is unreal and illusory.

5. Have no respect for the authority of others, for there are always contrary authorities to be found.

6. Do not use power to suppress opinions you think pernicious, for if you do the opinions will suppress you.

7. Do not fear to be eccentric in opinion, for every opinion now accepted was once eccentric.

8. Find more pleasure in intelligent dissent than in passive agreement, for, if you value intelligence as you should, the former implies a deeper agreement than the latter.

9. Be scrupulously truthful, even if the truth is inconvenient, for it is more inconvenient when you try to conceal it.

10. Do not feel envious of the happiness of those who live in a fool’s paradise, for only a fool will think that it is happiness.

HT: Brainpickings

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Leading With Lollipops

Inspiring video:

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How To Make Work Miserable

From The Progress Principle:

Over the past 15 years, we have studied what makes people happy and engaged at work. In discovering the answer, we also learned a lot about misery at work. …

What we discovered is that the key factor you can use to make employees miserable on the job is to simply keep them from making the progress they expect to make in meaningful work.

People want to make a valuable contribution, and feel great when they make progress toward doing so.

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If Money Doesn’t Make You Happy, You’re Not Spending It Right

This sentiment that money can’t buy happiness is lovely, popular, and almost certainly wrong:

Money allows people to live longer and healthier lives, to buffer themselves against worry and harm, to have leisure time to spend with friends and family, and to control the nature of their daily activities—all of which are sources of happiness (Smith, Langa, Kabeto, & Ubel, 2005).

Wealthy people don’t just have better toys; they have better nutrition and better medical care, more free time and more meaningful labor—more of just about every ingredient in the recipe for a happy life. And yet, they aren’t that much happier than those who have less. If money can buy happiness, then why doesn’t it?

Because people don’t spend it right. Most people don’t know the basic scientific facts about happiness—about what brings it and what sustains it—and so they don’t know how to use their money to acquire it.

Money is an opportunity for happiness, but it is an opportunity that people routinely squander because the things they think will make them happy often don’t.

So how should you be spending it?  According to the study, you should be sure to do eight specific things:

  1. Buy more experiences and fewer material goods;
  2. Use your money to benefit others rather than yourself;
  3. Buy many small pleasures rather than fewer large ones;
  4. Eschew extended warranties and other forms of overpriced insurance;
  5. Delay consumption;
  6. Consider how peripheral features of their purchases may affect your day-to-day life;
  7. Beware of comparison shopping; and
  8. Pay close attention to the happiness of others.

 

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